2007 ~ Stock Picks 

 
 

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  • September 2007 (3)
  • October 2007 (4)
  • Nov. 2007 (5)  
  • Dec. 2007 (4)
  • May 2007 (4)
  • June 2007 (5)
  • July 2007 (4)  
  • August 2007 (5)
  • January 2007 (2)
  • February 2007 (2)
  • March 2007 (4)  
  • April 2007 (5)


  • October 2007 Stock Picks
    Stock Name SYM Exch. Sector Industry Date Picked Pick Price
    (per share)
    ASG
    Deere & Co.    DE     NYSE     Capital Goods   Construction & Agricultural Machinery   10/05/07 $147.27   52.01 (Very Good)  
    Goodrich Corp.    GR     NYSE     Capital Goods   Aerospace & Defense   10/12/07 $69.90   54.32 (Very Good)  
    Fluor Corp.   FLR     NYSE     Capital Goods   Construction Services   10/19/07 $147.27   50.49 (Very Good)  
    Hansen Natural Corp.   HANS     NASD     Consumer/Non-Cyclical   Beverages (Non-Alcoholic)   10/26/07 $67.86   46.67 (Good)  

           Deere & Co.  (NYSE: DE) and its subsidiaries (collectively called John Deere) opera67.86tes four major business segments. The agricultural equipment segment manufactures and distributes a full line of farm equipment and related service parts — including tractors; combine, cotton and sugarcane harvesters; tillage, seeding and soil preparation machinery; sprayers; hay and forage equipment; integrated agricultural management systems technology; and precision agricultural irrigation equipment. The commercial and consumer equipment segment manufactures and distributes equipment, products and service parts for commercial and residential uses — including tractors for lawn, garden, commercial and utility purposes; mowing equipment, including walk-behind mowers; golf course equipment; utility vehicles; landscape products and irrigation equipment; and other outdoor power products.

    The construction and forestry segment manufactures, distributes to dealers and sells at retail a broad range of machines and service parts used in construction, earthmoving, material handling and timber harvesting — including backhoe loaders; crawler dozers and loaders; four-wheel-drive loaders; excavators; motor graders; articulated dump trucks; landscape loaders; skid-steer loaders; and log skidders, feller bunchers, log loaders, log forwarders, log harvesters and related attachments.  The products and services produced by the segments above are marketed primarily through independent retail dealer networks and major retail outlets.  The credit segment primarily finances sales and leases by John Deere dealers of new and used agricultural, commercial and consumer, and construction and forestry equipment. In addition, it provides wholesale financing to dealers of the foregoing equipment, provides operating loans, finances retail revolving charge accounts, offers certain crop risk mitigation products and invests in wind energy generation.

    The stock's price gained 19.0% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 17.9%); 36.9% over the past 6 months (vs. the  Industry's 73.7%); and 72.7% over the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 137.3%). The Company is classified as a large-cap value company (with a market cap of $32.71B) that is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than average). The John Deere enterprise has manufactured agricultural machinery since 1837. The present Company was incorporated in 1958. The Company's principal executive offices are located at Moline, Illinois. The Company has 46,500 employees.

    Sector: Capital Goods; Industry: Construction & Agricultural Machinery; Ticker: DE;  Exch: NYSE;  10/05/07 Closing Price: $147.27 

    STOCK GRADE (ASG):  52.02  (VERY GOOD)               

    BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY; KEY STATS (Yahoo)
    EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION (Reuters)
    STOCK INFO/RESEARCH (MSN)
    COMPETITORS
    (CNN Money)

    OWNERSHIP (MSN)
    KEY DEVELOPMENTS (MSN), RECENT NEWS (MSN) & HEADLINES  (Yahoo)
    HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo) & PRICE CHART (IQChart)
    RISK LEVEL: 2 (Less than average) (MSN)
    COMPANY'S WEB SITE

     

    Management's Effectiveness (12 Mo.) . . . Return on Equity:        21.45%
    Profitability (12 Mo.) . . . Profit Margin:          7.27%
    Stock's Growth Record (12 Mo.) . . . Revenue:          4.52%
    . . . EPS:          7.39%
    . . . Price:        76.88%
    . . . Dividend:         NA
    PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) . . . Price/Earnings:        20.14
    . . . Earnings/Share:          7.32
    Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) . . . Pick Date 10/05/2007:      $147.27

    COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $147.27) is over the 13-day EMA and  50-day EMA price range; i.e., higher than
     the 13-day EMA price (of $145.70 and the 50-day EMA (of $136.47) by 1.04% and 7.91% respectively. This suggests that the pick price is presently not timely nor advantageous buy price for the stock.  (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with time).

    . . .    
    Price / Share (13-day EMA) . . . 10/05/2007:        $145.70
    Price / Share (50-day EMA) . . . 10/05/2007:        $136.47
    Price / Share (13-day EMA) . . .         Current:
    Price / Share (50-day EMA) . . .         Current:
    Price / Share (Current) . . . Current Price       Quote
    Price / Share (Historical) . . . Historical Price       Quote

    ^Top page



     

        Goodrich Corp.  (NYSE: GR) is one of the largest worldwide suppliers of components, systems and services to the commercial and general aviation airplane markets. The Company is also a leading supplier of systems and products to the global defense and space markets. The Company has three business segments: Engine Systems, Airframe Systems and Electronic Systems. The Engine Systems segment produces products associated with aircraft engines, including cowlings and their components, fuel delivery systems, and structural and rotating components. The Airframe Systems segment provides systems and components pertaining to aircraft taxi, take-off, flight control, landing and stopping, and airframe maintenance. The Electronic Systems segment produces a wide array of systems and components that provide flight performance measurements, flight management and control and safety data.

    The Company's key products include: Nacelles - the structure surrounding an aircraft engine; actuation systems - equipment that utilizes linear, rotary or fly-by-wire actuation to control movement; landing gear; aircraft wheels and brakes; engine control systems; optical and space systems; and sensor systems. The Company's products and services are principally sold to customers in North America, Europe and Asia.

    The stock's price gained 13.4% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 18.8%); 34.9% over the past 6 months (vs. the  Industry's 54.6%); and 60.4% over the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 85.1%). The Company is classified as a mid-cap value company (with a market cap of $8.75B) that is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 1 (very low). The Goodrich Corp. was incorporated on 1912 as the successor to a business founded in 1870. The Company's principal executive offices are located at Charlotte, North Carolina. The Company has 23,400 employees.

    Sector: Capital Goods; Industry: Aerospace & Defense; Ticker: GR;  Exch: NYSE;  10/12/07 Closing Price: $69.90) 

    STOCK GRADE (ASG):  54.32  (VERY GOOD)               

    BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY; KEY STATS (Yahoo)
    EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION (Reuters)
    STOCK INFO/RESEARCH (MSN)
    COMPETITORS
    (CNN Money)
    OWNERSHIP (MSN)
    KEY DEVELOPMENTS (MSN), RECENT NEWS (MSN) & HEADLINES  (Yahoo)
    HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo) & PRICE CHART (IQChart)
    RISK LEVEL: 1 (Very low) (MSN)
    COMPANY'S WEB SITE


    Management's Effectiveness (12 Mo.) . . . Return on Equity:        19.88%
    Profitability (12 Mo.) . . . Profit Margin:          6.86%
    Stock's Growth Record (12 Mo.) . . . Revenue:          8.93%
    . . . EPS:        93.63%
    . . . Price:        67.04%
    . . . Dividend:         NA
    PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) . . . Price/Earnings:        20.97
    . . . Earnings/Share:          3.33
    Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) . . . Pick Date 10/12/2007:      $69.90

    COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $69.90) is over the 13-day EMA and  50-day EMA price range; i.e., higher than
     the 13-day EMA price (of $68.72 and the 50-day EMA (of $65.46) by 1.72% and 6.79% respectively. This suggests that the pick price is presently not timely nor advantageous buy price for the stock.  (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with time).

    . . .    
    Price / Share (13-day EMA) . . . 10/12/2007:        $68.72
    Price / Share (50-day EMA) . . . 10/12/2007:        $65.46
    Price / Share (13-day EMA) . . .         Current:
    Price / Share (50-day EMA) . . .         Current:
    Price / Share (Current) . . . Current Price       Quote
    Price / Share (Historical) . . . Historical Price       Quote

    ^Top page



        Fluor Corp.  (NYSE: FLR) is a holding company that, through its subsidiaries,  provides professional services in the fields of engineering, procurement, construction and maintenance. The Company have five principal operating segments. Oil & Gas, Industrial & Infrastructure, Government, Global Services and Power. The Company serve a diverse set of industries worldwide including oil and gas, chemical and petrochemicals, life sciences, manufacturing, mining, power and transportation infrastructure; and is also a primary service provider to the United States federal government. The Company's services can range from basic consulting activities, often at the early stages of a project, to complete, sole-responsibility, design build contracts.

    In the engineering area, the Company provides traditional engineering disciplines such as piping, mechanical, electrical, civil, structural and architectural to emerging engineering specialties including simulation, enterprise integration, integrated automation processes and interactive 3-D modeling. In the procurement team, the Company's provides traditional procurement services as well as new strategic sourcing and supply processes. In the construction area, the Company mobilize, execute, commission and demobilize projects on a self-perform or subcontracted basis or through construction management as the owner’s agent. Under the operations and maintenance contracts, the Company operates and maintains large, complex facilities for the client thru the delivery of total maintenance services, facility management, plant readiness, commissioning, start-up and maintenance technology, small capital projects and turnaround and outage services.  

    The stock's price gained 35.7% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 47.8%); 73.5% over the past 6 months (vs. the  Industry's 178.6%); and 102.3% over the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 272.1%). The Company is classified as a mid-cap value company (with a market cap of $14.12B) that is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (less than average). The Company was incorporated on 2000. The Company's principal executive offices are located at Irving, Texas. The Company has 37,560 employees.

    Sector: Capital Goods; Industry: Construction Services; Ticker: FLR;  Exch: NYSE;  10/19/07 Closing Price: $156.01. 

    STOCK GRADE (ASG):  50.49  (VERY GOOD)               

    BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY; KEY STATS (Yahoo)
    EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION (Reuters)
    STOCK INFO/RESEARCH (MSN)
    COMPETITORS
    (CNN Money)
    OWNERSHIP (MSN)
    KEY DEVELOPMENTS (MSN), RECENT NEWS (MSN) & HEADLINES  (Yahoo)
    HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo) & PRICE CHART (IQChart)
    RISK LEVEL: 2 (Less than average) (MSN)
    COMPANY'S WEB SITE


    Management's Effectiveness (12 Mo.) . . . Return on Equity:        15.70%
    Profitability (12 Mo.) . . . Profit Margin:          1.94%
    Stock's Growth Record (12 Mo.) . . . Revenue:          6.97%
    . . . EPS:        12.62%
    . . . Price:       102.65%
    . . . Dividend:         NA
    PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) . . . Price/Earnings:        49.73
    . . . Earnings/Share:          3.21
    Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) . . . Pick Date 10/19/2007:      $156.01

    COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $156.01) is under the 13-day EMA and  over 50-day EMA price range; i.e., lower than
     the 13-day EMA price (of $156.30 and higher than the 50-day EMA (of $140.88) by -0.18% and 10.74% respectively. This suggests that the pick price is presently timely and advantageous buy price for the stock.  (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with time).

    . . .    
    Price / Share (13-day EMA) . . . 10/19/2007:        $156.30
    Price / Share (50-day EMA) . . . 10/19/2007:        $140.88
    Price / Share (13-day EMA) . . .         Current:
    Price / Share (50-day EMA) . . .         Current:
    Price / Share (Current) . . . Current Price       Quote
    Price / Share (Historical) . . . Historical Price       Quote

    ^Top page



           Hansen Natural Corp.  (NASD: HANS) is a holding company that, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, develop, market, sell and distribute “alternative” beverage category natural sodas, fruit juices and juice drinks, energy drinks and energy sports drinks, fruit juice smoothies and “functional drinks,” non-carbonated ready-to-drink iced teas, lemonades, juice cocktails, children’s multi-vitamin juice drinks, Junior Juice® juices and non-carbonated lightly flavored energy waters under the Hansen’s® brand name. The Company also develop, market, sell and distribute energy drinks under the following brand names; Monster Energy®, Lost® Energy™, Joker Mad Energy™, Unbound Energy® and Ace™ brand names as well as Rumba™ brand energy juice. The Company also market, sell and distribute Java Monster™ non-carbonated dairy based coffee drinks.

    The Company also market, sell and distribute natural sodas, premium natural sodas with supplements, organic natural sodas, seltzer waters, sports drinks and energy drinks under the Blue Sky® brand name. the Company' fruit juices for toddlers are marketed under the Junior Juice® brand name. The Company  also market, sell and distribute vitamin and mineral drink mixes in powdered form under the Fizzit™ brand name. The Company has two reportable segments, namely Direct Store Delivery (“DSD”), whose principal products comprise energy drinks; and the Warehouse segment (“Warehouse”), whose principal products comprise juice based and soda beverages. The DSD segment develops, markets and sells products primarily through an exclusive distributor network whereas the Warehouse segment develops, markets and sells products primarily directly to retailers.

    The stock's price gained 65.4% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 46.8%); 75.6% over the past 6 months (vs. the  Industry's 49.0%); and 109.6% over the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 96.2%). The Company is classified as a mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $6.19B) that is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (less than average). The Company was incorporated on 1990. The Company's principal place of business is at Corona, California. The Company has 377 employees.

    Sector: Consumer/Non-Cyclical; Industry: Beverages (Non-Alcoholic); Ticker: HANS;  Exch: NASD;  10/26/07 Closing Price: $67.86. 

    STOCK GRADE (ASG):  46.67  (GOOD)               

    BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY; KEY STATS (Yahoo)
    EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION (Reuters)
    STOCK INFO/RESEARCH (MSN)
    COMPETITORS
    (CNN Money)
    OWNERSHIP (MSN)
    KEY DEVELOPMENTS (MSN), RECENT NEWS (MSN) & HEADLINES  (Yahoo)
    HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo) & PRICE CHART (IQChart)
    RISK LEVEL: 2 (Less than average) (MSN)
    COMPANY'S WEB SITE


    Management's Effectiveness (12 Mo.) . . . Return on Equity:        42.97%
    Profitability (12 Mo.) . . . Profit Margin:        14.47%
    Stock's Growth Record (12 Mo.) . . . Revenue:        73.63%
    . . . EPS:        53.66%
    . . . Price:        87.66%
    . . . Dividend:         NA
    PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) . . . Price/Earnings:        58.85
    . . . Earnings/Share:          1.09
    Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) . . . Pick Date 10/26/2007:      $67.86

    COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $67.86) is over the 13-day EMA and  over 50-day EMA price range; i.e., higher than
     the 13-day EMA price (of $63.54 and the 50-day EMA (of $56.26) by 6.80% and 20.62% respectively. This suggests that the pick price is presently not timely nor advantageous buy price for the stock.  (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with time).

    . . .    
    Price / Share (13-day EMA) . . . 10/26/2007:        $63.54
    Price / Share (50-day EMA) . . . 10/26/2007:        $56.26
    Price / Share (13-day EMA) . . .         Current:
    Price / Share (50-day EMA) . . .         Current:
    Price / Share (Current) . . . Current Price       Quote
    Price / Share (Historical) . . . Historical Price       Quote

    SPECIAL NOTE:

    1. Hansen, being an ACE'S pick this month, becomes an ACE'S "re-pick stock" (the stock was first picked on July 2005);
    2. Hansen is Number 2 in ACE'S Top 10 Gainer stock picks  (with a 12-month gain of 380.21%).
    3. Hansen is the No. 1 stock in the Motley Fool's "greatest stocks" of the past decade. (SEE: Tim Hanson's "The Market's 10 Best Stocks" published December 29, 2005 by Motley Fool).

    ^Top page




    November 2007 Stock Picks
    Stock Name SYM Exch. Sector Industry Date Picked Pick Price
    (per share)
    ASG
    Jacobs Engineering Group Inc.   JEC     NYSE     Capital Goods   Construction Services   11/02/07 $83.80   48.20 (Good)  
    FMC Corp.   FMC     NYSE     Basic Material   Chemical Manufacturing   11/09/07 $55.32   50.49 (Very Good)  
    Research In Motion Ltd   RIMM     NASD     Technology   Communication Equipment  11/16/07 $107.57   48.96 (Good)  
    Mobile Telesystems Ojsc, ADS   MBT     NYSE     Services   Communication Services  11/23/07 $84.70   54.32 (Very Good)  
    Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Ads   PBR     NYSE     Energy   Oil & Gas - Integrated  11/30/07 $96.30   52.02 (Very Good)  

       Jacobs Engineering Group Inc.  (NYSE: JEC) is one of the largest professional services firms in the United States. The Company's  business focuses exclusively on providing a broad range of technical, professional, and construction services to a large number of industrial, commercial, and governmental clients around the world. The  Company provide project services (which include engineering, design, architectural, and similar services); process, scientific, and systems consulting services; operations and maintenance services; and construction services (which include direct-hire construction and construction management services). The  Company provide its services through offices and subsidiaries located principally in North America, Europe, Asia, Scandinavia, and Australia.

    The scope of services the 
    Company can provide its clients ranges from consulting and conceptual design services, which clients often require in the very early stages of a project, to complete, single-responsibility, design-build-operate contracts. The  Company concentrate its services on selected industry groups and markets including oil and gas exploration, production, and refining; programs for various federal governments; pharmaceuticals and biotechnology; chemicals and polymers; buildings (which includes projects in the fields of health care and education as well as civic, governmental, and other buildings); infrastructure; technology and manufacturing; and pulp and paper, among others.  

    The stock's price gained 37.4% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 65.1%); 60.0% over the past 6 months (vs. the  Industry's 116.3%); and 120.8% over the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 143.3%). T