Pick-of-the-Month Stock ~ Dec. 2006 

 
 

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  Telenor ASA, ADR (NASD: TELN) is a leading provider of mobile and fixed network telecommunications services in Norway. Telenor  also provides mobile telephony services, satellite operations and pay television services in more than 12 countries. Telenor operates four business segments; Mobile, Fixed, Broadcast and Other Businesses.

Mobile Operations.
Telenor have principal interests in the following mobile operations: a 100% ownership interest in Sonofon in Denmark; a 100% ownership interest in Vodafone Sweden; a 56.5% ownership interest in Kyivstar, Ukraine; a 100% ownership interest in Pannon GSM, Hungary; a 69.3% economic stake in DTAC, Thailand; a 61.1% ownership interest in DiGi.Com, Malaysia; a 62% ownership interest in GrameenPhone, Bangladesh; a 100% ownership interest in Telenor Pakistan, Pakistan; a 100% ownership interest in ProMonte GSM, Montenegro. The number of subscriptions in Telenor's international mobile operations, was 41.4 million as of December 31, 2005.

Telenor Fixed. In Norway,
Telenor provides a full range of services to residential, business and wholesale customers. This includes 1.089 million analog (PSTN) subscribers; 509,000 digital or integrated services digital network (ISDN) subscribers and 475,000 digital subscriber lines (xDSL). In July 2005, Bredbandsbolaget and Cybercity were acquired. Bredbandsbolaget is the second largest provider of broadband services in Sweden, offering high-speed internet, VoIP and Internet Protocol (IP) television services on an all-IP fiber and xDSL network. Cybercity is the third largest supplier of broadband services in Denmark, providing xDSL-based internet access and voice services to both residential and business customers.

Telenor Broadcast.
Telenor also provides broadcasting services to customers in the Nordic region (i.e., Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland) through satellite dish, cable TV networks and satellite master antenna TV-networks systems. Other Businesses. Telenor's EDB Business Partner, a 51.8% owned subsidiary, is a leading information technology company in Norway. Telenor's wholly-owned subsidiary, Satellite Services, offers satellite-based communications networks and services to a wide variety of governmental, intergovernmental and commercial organizations, and is one of the world’s leading providers of global mobile communications services, directed at the maritime, land mobile and aeronautical markets.

The stock's price gained 47.8% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 20.5%); 55.8% over the past 6 months (vs. the  Industry's 25.3%); and 98.5% over the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 29.5%).
Telenor is classified as a large-cap growth company that is rated to outperform the market over the next six months. The stock currently has no risk (alert) level. The Company has a  market capitalization of $32,188.37 million. Telenor  was established in 1994 in Norway.  The Company's principal office is located in Fornebu, Norway. Telenor has 27,600 employees.

Sector: Services; Industry: Communication Services; Ticker: TELN;  Exch: NASD;  12/15/06 Closing Price: $56.74) 

STOCK GRADE (ASG):  44.65  (GOOD)               
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY; KEY STATS (Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION (Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH (MSN)
OWNERSHIP (MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS (MSN), RECENT NEWS (MSN) & HEADLINES  (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo) & PRICE CHART (IQChart)
RISK (ALERT) LEVEL: ZERO (Reuters)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
STOCK'S CORE STRENGTHS (SEE: Table Below)   
 

Management's Effectiveness (12 Mo.) . . . Return on Equity:       24.60%
Profitability (12 Mo.) . . . Profit Margin:        15.64%
Stock's Growth Record (12 Mo.) . . . Revenue:       13.76%
. . . EPS:       34.66%
. . . Price:       38.18%
. . . Dividend:        0.00
PE & EPS (12 Mo.) . . . Price/Earnings:      15.97
. . . Earnings/Share:        3.32
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) . . . Pick Date 12/15/2006:    $56.74
Price / Share (Current) . . . Current Price     Quote
Price / Share (Historical) . . . Historical Price     Quote

TELENOR ASA, ADR - EVALUATION

Telenor's
stock emerged as an  ACE'S selection based on the evaluation results of the criteria listed below. The evaluation results are encapsulated as one value in ASG (short for ACE'S Stock Grade). ASG is a proprietary variable that was devised by ACE'S to measure the quality of a stock for investment. Telenor's ASG value of 45.95 is VERY GOOD.

A. MANAGEMENTS EFFECTIVENESS - POOR
B. PRODUCTS & SERVICES, SET OF - GOOD 
C. SALES -
 EXCELLENT 
D. CASH FLOW, FREE -
EXCELLENT
E. PROFITABILITY -
  POOR
F. PRICE-EARNINGS RATIO (P/E) -  POOR
G. FINANCIAL HEALTH -   GOOD
H. MARKET CAPITALIZATION - AVERAGE
I. TRADED VOLUME -
 POOR
J. PRICE GROWTH - EXCELLENT
 

A. MANAGEMENTS EFFECTIVENESS - POOR

How well a company performs generally - in its business operations, controlling costs,  the success of its products and services in the market place, profitability, and the like - depends on its management's efficiency. Return on Equity ( ROE) is used by ACE'S as a general indication of the company's efficiency.

Telenor's ROE (ttm) of 24.4% is lower (by 12.80%) than the Industry's ROE of 28.0%; and higher (by 27.80%) than the S&P 500's ROE of 21.9%.
(Ref.: MSN Finance\Key Ratios).

  ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that has a comparable or relatively higher ROE than the Industry. ACE'S rating of Telenor's Management's Effectiveness: POOR (LOWER THAN INDUSTRY'S AVERAGE).

^ Back to Evaluation

 B. PRODUCTS & SERVICES - EXCELLENT     

Products and services are the elements that enables a company to have a presence in its target market and generate sales. The set of products and services that a company has and how successful those products and services performs in the target market are very important factors in considering a company's stock for investment.

Telenor's core business services: Mobile telecommunication services; Fixed-line telecommunication services; Television & broadcasting services; and Other business services.

  MOBILE TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES

Telenor provides mobile telecommunication services in the following countries; Norway, Denmark, Sweden, Ukraine, Hungary, Montenegro, Thailand, Malaysia, Bangladesh and Pakistan.

Telenor (Norway)                                 Telenor (Sweden)                              Sonofon (Denmark)
Pannon (Hungary)                                Kyivstar (Ukraine)                           Promonte (Montenegro)
VimpelCom (Russia and CIS)           Telenor (Serbia)                                 ONE (Austria)
Digi (Malaysia)                                       DTAC (Thailand)                              GrameenPhone (Bangladesh)
Telenor (Pakistan)

  FIXED-LINE TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES

Telenor provides fixed-line telecommunication services on a retail basis to both residential and business customers. Services offered includes analogue (PSTN) and digital (ISDN) fixed-line telephony, as well as broadband voice services over Internet Protocol (VoIP), Internet access via PSTN/ISDN and digital subscriber lines (xDSL), value-added services and leased lines. These services are provided in the following countries; Norway, Denmark, Sweden and Russia.

Telenor (Norway)                                 Telenor (Sweden)                              Glocalnet (Sweden)
Bredbandsbolaget (Sweden)             Cybercity (Denmark)                      Golden Telecom (Russia)

   TELEVISION & BROADCASTING  SERVICES

Telenor Broadcast provides TV distribution services to more than three million households and businesses in the Nordic region, offering basic tier, "minipay" and premium pay-TV services to subscribers with Direct To Home (DTH) satellite dishes. In Norway and Sweden, Telenor also offers basic tier TV services, pay-TV and Internet services to cable TV subscribers, and in Denmark, the same services are marketed through a cable network; OE Kabel TV. In Finland, Telenor offers premium pay-TV services to subscribers with access to digital terrestrial television (DTT). Telenor also offers TV services through privately owned satellite master antenna TV networks (SMATV), which serve multiple dwellings such as housing associations and antenna unions.

Canal Digital                                           Norkring                                             Conax
Telenor Satellite Broadcasting

   OTHER BUSINESS  SERVICES

- Telenor Cinclus                                

Telenor Cinclus supplies a complete solution for Automatic Monitor Reading (AMR) and machine-to-machine communication. The AMR-solution enables utility companies to remotely read their customers’ electricity meters on an hourly basis. In addition, each individual grid operator can use the communications platform to build other value-adding services, such as surveillance alarms, water and gas metering, temperature regulation or image transmission.

- EDB Business Partner ASA

EDB Business Partner ASA is a leading IT group in the Nordic region providing expertise for the development and operation of IT solutions.

- Telenor Eiendom Holding

Telenor Eiendom Holding's main task is to ensure that the Telenor Group has at its disposal sufficient premises to allow its main activities to be performed in a cost effective manner.

- Telenor Global Services AS

Telenor Global Services AS (TGS) is the international carrier of Telenor. The main activities of TGS is in the international wholesale of voice termination, GRX, MMS Interworking, IPX, capacity, IP VPN and IP transit.

- Telenor New Business

Telenor New Business identifies and develops new product lines and services that can be of significance to Telenor's future core activities and contribute to growth and renewal across the Group's business segments.

- Telenor R&I

Telenor Research and Innovation contributes to Telenor's value-adding services through strategic consultancy, innovation and improvement of existing solutions.

- Telenor Satellite Services

Telenor Satellite Services is wholly owned by Telenor and provides global communications via satellite for customers on land, at sea, and in flight.

- Telenor Venture

Telenor Venture seeks to create value through active ownership by investing in companies in the fields of telecommunications and IT.
 

  ACE'S  gives a preferential rating to a company who have a variety of product and services  that have present and continued  utility in a broad and dynamic  market. An estimation of the latter products' utility, distinctive qualities and competitiveness would be subjective assessments. However, there is one objective data that indicates how well the subjective elements of Telenor's products and services are assessed and used by its target market - the company's sales.

 ACE'S rating of Telenor's line-up of Products & Services:  EXCELLENT

^ Back to Evaluation

C. SALES -   EXCELLENT 

Sales is an important indicator on how a company's products and services performs in its target market. Generally, a high sales figure is preferred than a lower figure. Also, a steady and appreciable growth in a company's total sales from one year to the next is a key indicator on how a company is able (or unable) to sustain and improve the utility of its products and services in the marketplace.

Telenor's annual revenue was $46,040.0M in 12/2001, $48,826.0M in 12/2002, $53,121.0 in 12/2003, $60,591.0M in 12/2004 and $68,927.0M in 12/2005. Relative to 12/2001's revenue, the Company's sales increased 6.00% in 2002; 15.30% in2003; 31.60% in 2004 and 49.70% in 2005,
(Ref.: MSN Money\Financials)Telenor's ttm annual sales of $14.09B was 133.04% higher than the Industry's  sales of $46.59M.  Telenor's ttm Sales growth rate of 38.20% was 24.50% points higher than the Industry's rate of 13.70%.   (Ref.: MSN Money\Research).

  ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that have demonstrated the ability to sustain an appreciable and progressively increasing level of sales  from year-to-year. Telenor's year-to-year annual revenues have progressively increased from 2001 to 2005.   ACE'S rating of Telenor's Sales Growth Rate: EXCELLENT.

^ Back to Evaluation

D. CASH FLOW, FREE - EXCELLENT

Cash flow is crucial to the operation and survival of companies. A company having ample ready cash ensures that creditors, employees, and others can be paid on time. Cash flow could be considered as a better measure of a business's profitability than earnings, because a company can show positive net earnings and have insufficient cash flow (that is, the company is not able to pay its debts). Cash Flow thus can be used as an indicator of a company's financial strength.

Telenor's cash flow (from operating activities) during the past 5 years: $6,993M in 12/2001; $12,858.0M in 12/2002; $13,676.0M in 12/2003; $18,991.0M in 12/2004; and $22,340M in 12/2005.  Relative to 12/2001, the Company's cash flow increased 83.80% in 2002, 95.50% in2003, 171.50% in 2004, and 219.40% in 2005.
(Ref.: MSN Money\Financials).

 ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that have demonstrated the ability to sustain a positive and appreciable cash flow from year-to-year. Telenor's year-to-year cash flow have an average annual increase of 142.55% from 2001 to 2005.  ACE'S rating of Telenor's Cash Flow: EXCELLENT.

^ Back to Evaluation

E. PROFITABILITY -  POOR  

Making a profit is the ultimate goal of every company. A useful gauge of a company's profitability is its net income (also referred to as "earnings").  Related to a company's outstanding shares of common stocks, the company's total earnings is transformed to "earnings per share" (or "EPS" for short). EPS is a very popular indicator of a company's profitability and a powerful variable that influences the price of a company's stock.

Telenor's annual Net Income, for the past 12 months, of $1.83B is 47.10% less than the Industry's Income of $3.46B. In terms of growth, Telenor's income growth was 69.30% vis-a-vis the Industry's 5.50%.
(Refs. MSN Money\Financials\Statements). For the past 5 years, Telenor's  annual Net Income are: $7,004.0M in 12/2001; -$3,658.0M in 12/2002; $5,036.0M in 12/2003; $5,639.00M in 12/2004; and $7,427.00M in 12/2005.  Relative to 12/2001, the Company's net income decreased 152.20% in 2002, 28.00% in2003, 19.40% in 2004 and increased 6.00% in 2005; or an average year-to-year increase of -48.40%. (Refs. MSN Money\Financials\Statements)

  ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that have demonstrated the ability to sustain a positive, appreciable and increasing net  income. Telenor's average year-to-year increase of 36.78% from 2001 to 2005.  ACE'S rating of Telenor's Profitability: POOR.

^ Back to Evaluation

F. PRICE-EARNINGS RATIO (P/E) - POOR (HIGHER THAN INDUSTRY'S AVERAGE)

A stock's Price-Earnings ratio tells us roughly how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings. Price-Earnings is a ratio of a company's current share price compared to its per-share earnings. The P/E ratio is a much better indicator of the value of a stock than the market price alone.

In general, a high P/E means high projected earnings in the future. As such, the P/E ratio could be interpreted as the reflection of the market's optimism concerning a firm's growth prospects. To determine whether a particular P/E is high or low, take into account a company's growth rates; and the P/Es of other companies in the same industry. Historically, the average P/E ratio in the market has been around 15-25.

Telenor has a P/E ratio of 17.46 (ttm) which is 1.48 points higher - or 9.20% more - than the Industry's P/E of 15.98 (ttm).
(Ref.: Yahoo! Finance\Competitors)

ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that has a comparable or relatively lower P/E than the Industry.  ACE'S rating of Telenor's P/E Ratio: POOR (HIGHER THAN INDUSTRY'S AVERAGE).

^ Back to Evaluation

G. FINANCIAL HEALTH -  GOOD (LOWER THAN INDUSTRY'S AVERAGE).

The assumption of debt, i.e., financial leverage, are used by companies to finance its assets. The magnitude of the debt's expense component affects the company's net income.

A company with significantly more debt than equity is considered to be highly leveraged. A popular measure of financial leverage is the "debt/equity ratio". A higher debt/equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. This higher ratio can result in volatile or negative earnings as a result of the additional interest expense. Thus, the Debt/Equity Ratio is popularly used as a measure of a company's financial health.

Telenor's 1.30 Debt/Equity Ratio (latest 12 months) is 0.51% points (or 28.10%) less than the Industry's Ratio of 1.81, and 0.03% points (or 2.3%) greater than the S&P 500's Ratio 1.27. 
(Refs.: MSN Money\Ratios)

ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that has a comparable or relatively lower debt ratio than the Industry.  ACE'S rating of Telenor's  Debt Ratio: GOOD (LOWER THAN INDUSTRY'S AVERAGE).

^ Back to Evaluation

H. MARKET CAPITALIZATION -  AVERAGE  

Market Capitalization (or market cap for short) is a measure of a company's size. The market cap provides a broad gauge of the growth-versus-risk potential of a company. Historically, large caps have experienced slower growth with lower risk; whereas small caps have experienced higher growth potential, but with higher risk.

The market cap of a company is calculated by multiplying the number of its outstanding shares by the shares' current market price. There are presently six classes of Market Cap: Mega Cap, Big/Large Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap, Micro Cap and Nano Cap. ACE'S assigns an Excellent rating to Small Cap stocks; Good to Mid Caps; Average to Big/Large Caps; and Below Average to Mega Caps.  ACE'S excludes Micro and Nano Caps in its stock picks.

Telenor is classified as a large cap growth company with a market capitalization of $32,188.37M and with outstanding shares of 560.09M.
(Ref.: Reuters)

 ACE'S gives a preferential rating to small and mid cap companies.  ACE'S rating of Telenor's  Market Cap:  AVERAGE.

^ Back to Evaluation

I. TRADED VOLUME - POOR

A stock's price goes up or down based on the laws of supply and demand. Simply stated, when a stock's price goes up, there must be significant buying demand for the stock. Volume is the actual number of shares traded daily. Traded volume could be used as a gauge of the demand for a stock.

Telenor has an 3-month Average Daily Volume of 70,683.10 shares; and a 10-day Average Daily Volume of 88,766.70 shares.  
(Refs.: Yahoo! Finance\Statistics).  ACE'S assigns an Excellent rating for +1,000,000 trading volumes; Good for 500,001-999,999 volumes; Average for 100,000 - 500,000 volumes; and Poor for -100,000 volumes.

 ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that sustains a lively trade volume from week-to-week and month-to-month.  ACE'S rating of Telenor's  Traded Volume: POOR.

^ Back to Evaluation

J. PRICE GROWTH - EXCELLENT  

Price growth  is the 12-month increase in the price of a stock (displayed as a percentage). As of 12/15/06, Telenor had a 3-month growth rate  of 46.90% (vs. the Industry's 21.60% rate), a 6-month rate of 63.50% (vs. the Industry's 29.70% rate), and  a 12-month rate of 91.20% (vs. the Industry's 30.40% rate). 
(Refs.: MSN Money\Research).

ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that have demonstrated a solid capacity for high price growth and outperforming other stocks in the Industry.  ACE'S rating of Telenor's  Price Growth: EXCELLENT.

^ Back to Evaluation

 

  Last modified: 04/30/08