A. MANAGEMENTS EFFECTIVENESS - BELOW AVERAGE
How well a company performs
generally - in its
business operations, controlling costs, the success of its products and
services in the market place, profitability, and the like - depends on its
management's efficiency. Return on Equity ( ROE) is used as a general indication
of the company's efficiency.
GMXR's ROE (ttm) of 8.5% is lower than the Industry's ROE of 22.0 and the S&P 500's ROE of 15.0%. (Ref.:
MSN Finance\Ratios).
ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that has a
comparable or relatively higher ROE than the Industry. ACE'S rating of
GMXR's Management's Effectiveness: BELOW AVERAGE.
B. PRODUCTS & SERVICES - GOOD LINE-UP
Products and services are the elements that enables a company to have a presence
in its target market and generate sales. What products and services the company has and how successful those products and services performs in the
target market are very important factors in considering a company's stock for
investment.
GMX's line-up of Products. As of December 31, 2004, the Company's
principal drilling and development activities were focused on its property in
the East Texas, which the Company is drilling in a joint development agreement
with Penn Virginia Oil & Gas, L.P. (PVOG), a wholly owned subsidiary of Penn
Virginia Corporation. During the year ended December 31, 2004, the Company had
proved reserves of 64.3 billion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent (Bcfe) and
66 gross (44.3 net) producing wells. In the other areas of East Texas the
Company also holds an inventory of development prospects, including 67 gross (39
net) proved undeveloped locations and an additional 113 gross (74 net) probable
and 275 gross (150 net) possible drilling locations depending on the area of
well spacing. GMX also owns interests in properties in Northwestern
Louisiana and Southeast New Mexico. (Excerpted from Reuters.com)
The Louisiana properties contain approximately 600 gross (369 net) acres. GMX
has five gross (2.6 net) producing wells, three of which it operates. Production
is predominately oil. Louisiana proved reserves are 0.4 Bcfe and represent
approximately 1% of proved reserves as of December 31, 2004. (Excerpted from
Reuters.com)
GMX's New Mexico properties consists of approximately 1,760 gross
(1,478 net) acres. Proved reserves in New Mexico are 1.3 Bcfe and represent 1%
of GMX's total proved reserves as of December 31, 2004. For 2004,
average daily production net to GMX's interests from its seven
gross (5.6 net) producing wells in this area was 31 Mcf of gas and 19 Bbls of
oil. (Excerpted from Reuters.com)
In 2004, GMX entered into a farm-out with Yates Petroleum
Corporation, which completed three-dimensional (3D) seismic evaluations of these
formations. GMX plans to participate with Yates in a 12,000-foot
Morrow sand test expected to commence in April 2005. GMX will have
a 23% working interest in this well and also have retained a 5.75% overriding
royalty interest. (Excerpted from Reuters.com)
ACE'S
gives a preferential rating to a company who have
more than one products
and services that have present and continued utility in a broad and
dynamic market.
An estimation of the latter products' utility, distinctive qualities and competitiveness would be subjective assessments.
However, there is one objective data that indicates how well the subjective
elements of GMX's products and services
are assessed and used by its target market - the company's
sales.
ACE'S rating of
GMX's line-up of Products & Services: GOOD
C. SALES - GOOD
Sales is an important indicator on how a company's products and services
performs in its target market. Generally, a high sales figure is preferred than a lower figure.
Also, a steady and appreciable growth in a company's total sales from one year to the next is a key indicator on how a
company is able (or unable) to sustain and improve the utility of its products and services in the marketplace.
GMX'S annual sales was $4.2M in 2000, $5.9M in 2001, $6.0M in 2002, $5.4M in
2003, and $7.8M in 2004. (Ref.:
MSN Money\Financials). GMX'S past 12-months annual Sales of $11M is lower compared to the Industry's
$2,847M. However, in terms of growth, GMX'S past 12-months Sales had a growth rate of
108% is approximately double the Industry's rate of 57% (Ref.:
MSN Money\Research).
ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that have demonstrated the ability to
sustain a high and progressively increasing level of total sales from year-to-year. ACE'S rating of
GMX'S Sales: EXCELLENT.
D. (OPERATIONS) CASH FLOW - GOOD
Cash flow is crucial to the operation and survival of companies. A company
having ample ready cash ensures that creditors, employees, and others can be
paid on time.
Cash flow could be considered as a better measure of a business's profitability
than earnings, because a company can show positive net earnings and have insufficient cash flow (that is, the company
is not able to pay its debts). Cash Flow
thus can be used as an indicator of a company's financial strength.
GMX's cash flow during the past 5 years: $1.4M in 2000;
$8.0M in 2001; -$2.5 in 2002; $1.0M in 2003; and $3.7M in 2004 (Ref.:
MSN Money\Financials).
ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that have demonstrated the ability to
sustain a positive and appreciable cash flow from year-to-year. ACE'S rating of
GMX'S Cash Flow: AVERAGE.
E. PROFITABILITY - OUTSTANDING GROWTH RATE
Making a profit is the ultimate goal of every company. A useful gauge of a
company's profitability is its net income (also referred to as "earnings"). Related to a company's outstanding shares of common stocks, the company's total earnings is transformed
to "earnings per share" (or "EPS" for short). EPS is a very popular indicator of a company's profitability and a
powerful variable that influences the price of a company's stock.
GMX's annual Net Income, for the past 12 months, was $2.9M (vs. the
Industry's $372M). For the past5 years, GMX's annual Net Income are: $1.0M
in 2000; $1.1M in 2001; -$0.4M in 2002; $0.5M in 2003; and $1.4M in 2004. In terms of growth, GMX'S Net Income have grown 1,632%,
an outstanding growth rate,
during the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 58% growth rate). (Refs.
MSN Money\Financials\Statements;
MSN Money\Wizard)
In terms of EPS, the Company Earnings/Share for 5 years past are: $0.48 in 2000; $0.21 in 2001;
-$0.07 in 2002; $0.09 in 2003 ; and $0.19 in
2004. The Company's EPS (YTD) growth rate of 1,632%, an outstanding growth
rate, have outperformed the Industry's
rate of 57.60%. (Refs.:
MSN Money\Financials\Statements;
MSN
Money\Financials\Ratios)
ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that have demonstrated the ability to
sustain a positive, appreciable and increasing net income.. ACE'S rating of
GMX'S Profitability: OUTSTANDING GROWTH RATE.
F. PRICE-EARNINGS RATIO (P/E) - HIGHER THAN
INDUSTRY'S AVERAGE
A stock's Price-Earnings ratio tells us roughly how much investors are willing
to pay per dollar of earnings. Price-Earnings
is a ratio of a company's current share price compared to its per-share
earnings. The P/E ratio is a much better indicator
of the value of a stock than the market price alone.
In general, a high P/E means high projected earnings in the future. As such, the
P/E ratio could be interpreted as the reflection of the market's optimism concerning a firm's growth prospects. To
determine whether a particular P/E is high
or low, take into account a company's growth rates; and the P/Es of other
companies in the same industry. Historically,
the average P/E ratio in the market has been around 15-25.
GMX has a P/E ratio of 70.09 (ttm) which is approximately
4 times the
Industry's P/E of 18.20 (ttm)
(Ref.: Yahoo! Finance\Competitors)
ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that has a
comparable or relatively lower P/E than the Industry. ACE'S rating of
GMX'S P/E Ratio: HIGHER THAN INDUSTRY'S AVERAGE.
G. FINANCIAL HEALTH - EXCELLENT
The assumption of debt, i.e., financial leverage, are used by companies to
finance its assets. The magnitude of the debt's expense component affects the company's net income.
A company with significantly more debt than equity is considered to be highly
leveraged. A popular measure of financial
leverage is the "debt/equity ratio". A higher debt/equity
ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in financing its growth
with debt. This higher ratio can result
in volatile or negative earnings as a result of the additional interest expense.
Thus, the Debt/Equity Ratio is popularly used
as a measure of a company's financial health.
GMX'S Debt/Equity Ratio (latest 12 months), is 0.24. Compared to the Industry's, GMX'S ratio is
approximately 50% lower than the Industry's 0.54, and approximately 75% lower
than the S&P 500's..
(Refs.:
MSN Money\Ratios)
ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that has a
comparable or relatively lower debt ratio than the Industry. ACE'S rating of
GMX'S
Debt Ratio: EXCELLENT.
H. MARKET CAPITALIZATION - GOOD
Market Capitalization (or market cap for short) is a measure of a company's
size. The market cap provides a broad gauge
of the growth-versus-risk potential of a company. Historically, large caps have
experienced slower growth with lower
risk; whereas small caps have experienced higher growth potential, but with
higher risk.
The market cap of a company is calculated by multiplying the number of its
outstanding shares by the shares' current market price. There are presently six classes of Market Cap: Mega Cap, Big/Large
Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap, Micro Cap and Nano Cap.
GMXR is a small cap company with a market
capitalization of
$244.18M with outstanding shares of 9.93M.
.(Refs.:
Yahoo! Finance\Statistics)
ACE'S gives a preferential rating to small and mid cap companies. ACE'S rating of
GMX'S
Market Cap: GOOD.
I. TRADED VOLUME - GOOD
A stock's price goes up or down based on the laws of supply and demand. Simply
stated, when a stock's price goes up, there must be significant buying demand
for the stock. Volume is the actual number of shares traded daily. Traded volume
could be used as a gauge of the demand for a stock.
GMXR has an 3-month Average Volume of 269,245 shares; and
a 10-day Average Volume of 186,400 shares.
GMX traded 298,200 shares on 10/13/2005. (Refs.:
Yahoo! Finance\Statistics)
ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that sustains a
lively trade volume from week-to-week and month-to-month. ACE'S rating of
GMX'S Traded
Volume: GOOD.
J. PRICE GROWTH - EXCELLENT
Price growth is the 12-month increase in the price of a
stock (displayed as a percentage). As of 10/30/05, GMXR had a 3-month growth of
37.5%, a 6-month growth of 123.6%, and a 12-month Price
Growth of 237%. (Refs.:
MSN Money\Research).
ACE'S gives a preferential rating to a company that have
demonstrated a solid capacity for high price growth. ACE'S rating of
GMX'S
Price Growth: EXCELLENT.
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